OpenClaw Paper Trader
Local paper ledger runs first; IBKR DEMO mirroring is best-effort when broker gates pass. Updated 2026-06-15T10:55:57-04:00
Schedule: Mon-Fri 09:35-15:55 America/New_York; enabled paper experiments: 12
Latest Dashboard Changes
Compared with previous generated snapshot; updated 2026-06-15T10:55:57-04:00
- UpdatedTotal equity now $51,846.50
- UpdatedStrategy overview refreshed: top overnight-long tuesday space watch only (28.19%)
- AddedExperiment Lab added 2 strategy ideas: strat_20260615_gannhilo10_allbooks_trend_flip_nextopen
- AddedExperiment Lab added 2 research results
Total Equity$51,846.50
Total Cash$48,271.93
Total Positions$3,574.57
Total P/L$-153.50 (-0.30%)
Active Paper Experiments
| Experiment | Mode | Entry Days | Guardrail | Include | Exclude | Research |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | overnight-long | Tue | SPY <= 1.00% | All selected books | space_watch | No |
| Tuesday low-vol Semis only tuesday_low_vol_semis | overnight-long | Tue | SPY <= 1.00% | semis | None | No |
| Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | overnight-long | Mon, Tue, Wed, Thu | SPY <= 1.00% | All selected books | space_watch | No |
| Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | overnight-long | Tue | Off | All selected books | space_watch | No |
| Space Watch Tuesday low-vol space_watch_tuesday_low_vol | overnight-long | Tue | SPY <= 1.00% | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Space Watch Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol space_watch_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | overnight-long | Tue, Thu | SPY <= 0.50% | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Space Watch Monday intraday-long space_watch_monday_intraday | intraday-long | Mon | Off | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue overnight batch_space_watch_mon_tue_overnight | overnight-long | Mon, Tue | Off | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Batch Semis+Space Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | overnight-long | Tue, Thu | SPY <= 0.50% | semis, space_watch | None | Yes |
| Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol batch_space_watch_mon_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | overnight-long | Mon, Tue, Thu | SPY <= 0.50% | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Space Watch all-weekday intraday-long space_watch_intraday_all_weekdays | intraday-long | Mon, Tue, Wed, Thu, Fri | Off | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Batch Semis+Space Mon/Tue/Thu overnight batch_semis_space_mon_tue_thu_overnight | overnight-long | Mon, Tue, Thu | Off | semis, space_watch | None | Yes |
Each experiment has its own independent paper cash ledger per selected sleeve. Broker-enabled runs try to mirror whole-share orders to the IBKR DEMO account after what-if checks pass; mirror failures are recorded without stopping local paper trading.
Portfolio Sleeves
| Sleeve | Status | Experiment | Equity | Cash | Positions | P/L | Trades | Last Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETF Baseline etf_baseline | Flat | Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Big Tech big_tech | Flat | Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Semis semis | Flat | Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Momentum Watch momentum_watch | Flat | Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Defensive defensive | Flat | Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Semis semis | Flat | Tuesday low-vol Semis only tuesday_low_vol_semis | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| ETF Baseline etf_baseline | Flat | Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Big Tech big_tech | Flat | Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Semis semis | Flat | Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Momentum Watch momentum_watch | Flat | Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Defensive defensive | Flat | Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| ETF Baseline etf_baseline | Flat | Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Big Tech big_tech | Flat | Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Semis semis | Flat | Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Momentum Watch momentum_watch | Flat | Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Defensive defensive | Flat | Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Space Watch Tuesday low-vol space_watch_tuesday_low_vol | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Space Watch Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol space_watch_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Open | Space Watch Monday intraday-long space_watch_monday_intraday | $1,960.32 | $152.53 | $1,807.79 | $-39.68 (-1.98%) | 5 | BUY RDW 2026-06-15T09:35:23-04:00 |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue overnight batch_space_watch_mon_tue_overnight | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Semis semis | Flat | Batch Semis+Space Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Batch Semis+Space Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol batch_space_watch_mon_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Open | Space Watch all-weekday intraday-long space_watch_intraday_all_weekdays | $1,886.18 | $119.40 | $1,766.78 | $-113.82 (-5.69%) | 25 | BUY RDW 2026-06-15T09:35:24-04:00 |
| Semis semis | Flat | Batch Semis+Space Mon/Tue/Thu overnight batch_semis_space_mon_tue_thu_overnight | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Batch Semis+Space Mon/Tue/Thu overnight batch_semis_space_mon_tue_thu_overnight | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
Live market view
TradingView display only
Market Scout
Generated 2026-06-12T18:00:20-04:00; latest market date 2026-06-12
| Candidate | Theme | Status | Score | 20d | 20d vs SPY | 40-night avg | Win Rate | Kill Rule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNOW Snowflake | Cloud data | watch | 0.429 | 54.40% | 55.26% | 0.91% | 50.00% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| AMD AMD | AI/Semis | test | 0.315 | 13.76% | 14.62% | 0.87% | 60.00% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| ASML ASML | AI/Semis | test | 0.182 | 17.61% | 18.47% | 0.31% | 60.00% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Semis ETF | test | 0.170 | 7.20% | 8.05% | 0.49% | 67.50% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| LLY Eli Lilly | Healthcare growth | test | 0.168 | 12.55% | 13.40% | 0.46% | 70.00% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| CRWD CrowdStrike | Cybersecurity | watch | 0.098 | 17.73% | 18.59% | -0.41% | 45.00% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor | AI/Semis | watch | 0.076 | 1.49% | 2.34% | 0.31% | 62.50% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | Small caps | watch | 0.063 | 2.99% | 3.85% | 0.18% | 62.50% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
Paper Tracking Since Scout Add
| Candidate | Added | Added Price | Latest Date | Latest Price | Paper P/L | Return | SPY | QQQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML ASML | 2026-06-08 | $1,749.04 | 2026-06-12 | $1,863.55 | $130.94 | 6.55% | 0.34% | 0.74% |
| SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 2026-05-29 | $598.93 | 2026-06-12 | $619.96 | $70.23 | 3.51% | -1.95% | -2.30% |
| LLY Eli Lilly | 2026-05-29 | $1,105.00 | 2026-06-12 | $1,133.00 | $50.68 | 2.53% | -1.95% | -2.30% |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 2026-06-12 | $292.95 | 2026-06-12 | $292.95 | $0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| AMD AMD | 2026-05-29 | $516.10 | 2026-06-12 | $511.57 | $-17.55 | -0.88% | -1.95% | -2.30% |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor | 2026-06-09 | $427.92 | 2026-06-12 | $423.93 | $-18.65 | -0.93% | 0.64% | 1.91% |
| CRWD CrowdStrike | 2026-05-29 | $731.00 | 2026-06-12 | $682.80 | $-131.87 | -6.59% | -1.95% | -2.30% |
| SNOW Snowflake | 2026-05-29 | $255.55 | 2026-06-12 | $232.78 | $-178.20 | -8.91% | -1.95% | -2.30% |
Market Scout is research-only. Trading Desk reviews candidates before any paper-trader rule change.
Experiment Lab
Autoresearch queue. Trading Desk owns approvals and Paper Trader changes.
Active / Cap12/24
Free Slots12
Strategy Ideas120
Research Results156
Open Proposals2
Add Candidates1
Batch Backtest Funnel
Generated 2026-06-14T19:13:40-04:00; latest market date 2026-06-12
Scenarios Tested52288
Review Candidates6325
Clean Candidates6063
High-DD Candidates16
Tradable Profitable12699
Paper Handoff12
Scenario Offset6/52288
Charted Candidates8
Paper Promotion Handoff
| Candidate | Action | Return | Excess | Max DD | Trades | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue / include space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-include-space-watch | Already Active Watch | 41.93% | 34.97% | -6.85% | 43 | Exact active paper sleeve already exists. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.020 / include space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-spy-abs-0-020-include-space-watch | Paper Watch Candidate | 41.93% | 34.97% | -6.85% | 43 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-005-include-space-watch | Already Active Watch | 40.90% | 33.93% | -5.14% | 25 | Exact active paper sleeve already exists. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include semis,space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-005-include-semis-space-wa | Already Active Watch | 34.87% | 27.91% | -3.70% | 50 | Exact active paper sleeve already exists. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-005-include-space-watc | Already Active Watch | 36.49% | 29.53% | -5.21% | 36 | Exact active paper sleeve already exists. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.015 / include space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-spy-abs-0-015-include-space-watch | Paper Watch Candidate | 36.30% | 29.34% | -6.33% | 41 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue / include semis,space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-include-semis-space-watch | Paper Watch Candidate | 33.50% | 26.54% | -3.58% | 86 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.020 / include semis,space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-spy-abs-0-020-include-semis-space-wa | Paper Watch Candidate | 33.50% | 26.54% | -3.58% | 86 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
Clean long-mode winners become watch/proposal candidates when Paper Trader can execute their mode; clean short-mode winners require a separate short safety pass before activation.
Top Ranked Tests
| Scenario | Status | Return | Excess | Max DD | Trades | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| intraday-long / days mon,tue,thu / include space_watch intraday-long-days-mon-tue-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 77.47% | 61.39% | -16.98% | 66 | intraday-long |
| intraday-long / days mon,thu / include space_watch intraday-long-days-mon-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 74.32% | 58.24% | -19.57% | 43 | intraday-long |
| intraday-long / include space_watch intraday-long-include-space-watch | Review | 62.62% | 46.54% | -29.51% | 89 | intraday-long |
| intraday-long / days mon,tue,wed,thu / include space_watch intraday-long-days-mon-tue-wed-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 62.62% | 46.54% | -29.51% | 89 | intraday-long |
| intraday-long / days thu / include space_watch intraday-long-days-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 50.96% | 34.88% | -13.83% | 23 | intraday-long |
| intraday-long / days mon,wed,thu / include space_watch intraday-long-days-mon-wed-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 57.82% | 41.74% | -34.45% | 66 | intraday-long |
| intraday-long / days mon,tue,thu / include semis,space_watch intraday-long-days-mon-tue-thu-include-semis-space-watch | Review | 47.91% | 31.83% | -12.24% | 132 | intraday-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue / include space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-include-space-watch | Review | 41.93% | 34.97% | -6.85% | 43 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.020 / include space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-spy-abs-0-020-include-space-watch | Review | 41.93% | 34.97% | -6.85% | 43 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include space_watch overnight-long-days-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-005-include-space-watch | Review | 40.90% | 33.93% | -5.14% | 25 | overnight-long |
| intraday-long / days mon,tue,thu / include etf_baseline,space_watch intraday-long-days-mon-tue-thu-include-etf-baseline-space-watch | Review | 44.92% | 28.84% | -10.90% | 132 | intraday-long |
| intraday-long / days mon,thu / include semis,space_watch intraday-long-days-mon-thu-include-semis-space-watch | Review | 43.48% | 27.40% | -11.07% | 86 | intraday-long |
| intraday-long / days tue,thu / include space_watch intraday-long-days-tue-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 47.92% | 31.84% | -21.36% | 46 | intraday-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue,thu / include space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 40.47% | 33.51% | -14.20% | 66 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.020 / include space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-020-include-space-watch | Review | 40.47% | 33.51% | -14.20% | 66 | overnight-long |
intraday-long / days mon,tue,thu / include space_watch
Return 77.47%; excess 61.39%; trades 66
intraday-long / days mon,thu / include space_watch
Return 74.32%; excess 58.24%; trades 43
intraday-long / include space_watch
Return 62.62%; excess 46.54%; trades 89
intraday-long / days mon,tue,wed,thu / include space_watch
Return 62.62%; excess 46.54%; trades 89
intraday-long / days thu / include space_watch
Return 50.96%; excess 34.88%; trades 23
intraday-long / days mon,wed,thu / include space_watch
Return 57.82%; excess 41.74%; trades 66
- Paper/backtest only; no broker orders and no live ledger changes.
- No commissions, taxes, borrow costs, spreads, slippage, rejected fills, or partial fills.
- Close-confirmed filters are tradable only for close/overnight entries, not same-day open entries.
- Batch testing creates multiple-comparison and overfit risk; candidates must survive out-of-sample paper trading.
Markers are simulated backtest events: green = buy/cover, red = sell/short. They are not broker fills and do not touch the live paper ledger.
Latest Strategy Discoveries
| Strategy | Family | Status | Priority | Thesis | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Books Gann HiLo(10) Trend Flip Next-Open strat_20260615_gannhilo10_allbooks_trend_flip_nextopen | gann_hilo_trend_flip | ready_to_test | low | Gann HiLo Activator turns recent high and low averages into a simple trend-state line. A close-confirmed bullish flip above a 10-session HiLo level may capture trend repair across... | MotiveWave study documentation describes Gann HiLo Activator as comparing close with simple averages of recen... |
| All Books Psychological Line(12) Sentiment Reclaim Next-Open strat_20260615_psy12_allbooks_sentiment_reclaim_nextopen | psychological_line_upday_sentiment_reclaim | ready_to_test | low | Psychological Line measures how often a symbol has closed up over a fixed recent window. A close-confirmed PSY(12) reclaim above 50 may identify a shift from balanced or negative... | Trading Technologies Help Library describes the Psychological Line as the ratio of rising periods over total... |
| All Books Hilbert Transform Instantaneous Trendline Reclaim Next-Open strat_20260614_httrendline_allbooks_instant_trend_reclaim_nextopen | hilbert_transform_instantaneous_trendline_reclaim | ready_to_test | low | Hilbert Transform Instantaneous Trendline is a cycle/signal-processing trend reference derived from completed closes. A close-confirmed reclaim above the instantaneous trendline m... | TA-Lib Python overlap-studies documentation lists HT_TRENDLINE as Hilbert Transform - Instantaneous Trendline... |
| All Books NATR(14) Volatility Expansion Next-Open strat_20260614_natr14_allbooks_vol_expansion_nextopen | normalized_atr_volatility_expansion | ready_to_test | low | Normalized ATR expresses true range as a percentage of price, making volatility expansion comparable across high- and low-priced active-book symbols. A close-confirmed NATR(14) cr... | TA-Lib Python documentation lists NATR as Normalized Average True Range using high, low, close inputs and a 1... |
| All Books Ehlers Super Smoother(10) Low-Pass Reclaim Next-Open strat_20260614_supersmoother10_allbooks_lowpass_reclaim_nextopen | ehlers_super_smoother_lowpass_trend_reclaim | ready_to_test | low | Ehlers Super Smoother is a low-pass recursive filter intended to reduce price noise with less lag than ordinary moving averages. A close-confirmed reclaim above a fixed 10-bar Sup... | thinkorswim Learning Center describes Ehlers Super Smoother Filter as a John F. Ehlers smoothing technique ba... |
Proposal Queue
| Proposal | Rec | Status | Return | Trades | Hypothesis | Kill Rule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Space Watch intraday-long research sleeve proposal_20260605_space_watch_intraday_long_add_001 | add | ready | 65.85% | 84 | The Space Watch book has been strong as a high-beta theme, but its edge may be better expressed intraday than overnight because current Market Scout evidence shows strong momentum alongside... | Pause or reject if the intraday Space Watch sleeve loses more than 5% from its paper start, underperforms the matched Space Watch overnight sleeve ov... |
| watchlist_attribution_review dryrun_watch_multi_experiment_overlap_20260605_001 | watch | proposed | The current multi-experiment Paper Trader set may be valuable, but overlapping overnight-long Tuesday and low-vol exposure should be monitored for attribution before any portfolio change is... | Reject any future promotion from watch to add if the next two completed paper cycles do not show clear incremental attribution, or if overlap remains... |
Recent Research Results
| Result | Type | Outcome | Return | Trades | Hypothesis | Proposal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026-06-15T14:45:00Z | experiment_lab_half_hour_discovery | backlog_added | Gann HiLo Activator turns recent high and low averages into a simple trend-state line. A close-confirmed bullish flip above a 10-session HiLo level may capture trend repair across active books while staying di... | |||
2026-06-15T14:15:00Z | experiment_lab_half_hour_discovery | backlog_added | Psychological Line measures how often a symbol has closed up over a fixed recent window. A close-confirmed PSY(12) reclaim above 50 may identify a shift from balanced or negative short-term participation back... | |||
2026-06-14T20:45:00Z | experiment_lab_half_hour_discovery | backlog_added | Hilbert Transform Instantaneous Trendline is a cycle/signal-processing trend reference derived from completed closes. A close-confirmed reclaim above the instantaneous trendline may capture trend repair after... | |||
2026-06-14T20:15:00Z | experiment_lab_half_hour_discovery | backlog_added | Normalized ATR expresses true range as a percentage of price, making volatility expansion comparable across high- and low-priced active-book symbols. A close-confirmed NATR(14) cross above its own trailing med... | |||
2026-06-14T19:45:00Z | experiment_lab_half_hour_discovery | rejected_unsuitable | ||||
2026-06-14T19:15:00Z | experiment_lab_half_hour_discovery | backlog_added | Ehlers Super Smoother is a low-pass recursive filter intended to reduce price noise with less lag than ordinary moving averages. A close-confirmed reclaim above a fixed 10-bar Super Smoother may capture trend... |
Trading Desk Decisions
| Decision | Status | Proposal | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| decision_20260611_space_watch_intraday_all_weekdays_auto_promote 2026-06-11T16:49:20Z | applied | ||
| decision_20260611_batch_space_watch_mon_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol_auto_promote 2026-06-11T16:49:20Z | applied | ||
| decision_20260611_batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol_auto_promote 2026-06-11T16:49:20Z | applied | ||
| decision_20260611_batch_space_watch_mon_tue_overnight_auto_promote 2026-06-11T16:49:20Z | applied | ||
| decision_20260608_space_watch_monday_intraday_promote 2026-06-08T15:37:00Z | applied |
Research-only. Proposals are not active paper sleeves until Trading Desk applies a config change.
Jan 1 Historical Replay
Close-to-next-open long replay; latest market date 2026-05-29
Starting Capital$12,000.00
Replay Equity$13,134.99
Replay P/L$1,134.99
Replay Return9.46%
| Sleeve | Start | Final | P/L | Return | Nights | Win/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETF Baseline etf_baseline | $2,000.00 | $2,059.72 | $59.72 | 2.99% | 81 | 51/30 |
| Big Tech big_tech | $2,000.00 | $2,078.06 | $78.06 | 3.90% | 81 | 48/33 |
| Semis semis | $2,000.00 | $2,476.05 | $476.05 | 23.80% | 81 | 55/26 |
| Momentum Watch momentum_watch | $2,000.00 | $2,080.72 | $80.72 | 4.04% | 81 | 44/37 |
| Defensive defensive | $2,000.00 | $2,020.68 | $20.68 | 1.03% | 81 | 44/37 |
| Space Watch space_watch | $2,000.00 | $2,419.76 | $419.76 | 20.99% | 81 | 40/41 |
Assumes $2,000 per strategy, compounding within each sleeve, no fees/slippage/taxes, and no broker orders.
Strategy Overview
Generated 2026-06-15T09:37:55-04:00; latest market date 2026-06-15
- Active paper cron candidate: Tuesday low-vol overnight-long.
- Entry rule: overnight-long only, Tuesday entries, selected books excluding space_watch, skip when SPY same-day absolute move is above 1%.
- Current top sweep scenario: overnight-long tuesday space watch only at 28.19% ($563.82).
- Current weakest checked scenario: intraday-short all books at -15.16% ($-1,819.31).
- Do not promote shorts, hedge pairs, or rolling-best selection to the live paper cron until they survive out-of-sample checks.
Top Checked Scenarios
| Scenario | Profit | Return | Book-Days |
|---|---|---|---|
| overnight-long tuesday space watch only | $563.82 | 28.19% | 23 |
| overnight-long tuesday low-vol space watch only | $496.29 | 24.81% | 22 |
| overnight-long tuesday semis only | $399.20 | 19.96% | 23 |
| overnight-long semis only | $368.50 | 18.43% | 89 |
| overnight-long space watch only | $276.94 | 13.85% | 89 |
Weak Checked Scenarios
| Scenario | Profit | Return | Book-Days |
|---|---|---|---|
| intraday-short all books | $-1,819.31 | -15.16% | 540 |
| overnight-long wednesday entries | $-773.41 | -6.45% | 138 |
| overnight-short excluding semis | $-580.11 | -5.80% | 445 |
| overnight-long thursday entries | $-23.13 | -0.19% | 138 |
| overnight-long after red SPY day | $96.42 | 0.80% | 240 |
Adaptive And Hedge Checks
| Check | Profit | Return |
|---|---|---|
| Window 10 | $3,146.10 | 26.22% |
| Window 20 | $946.30 | 7.89% |
| Overnight hedge | $-471.28 | -5.89% |
Tuesday low-vol all active books / ETF Baseline
tuesday_low_vol_all / etf_baseline. Broad-market ETF mix for a simple benchmark.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday low-vol all active books / Big Tech
tuesday_low_vol_all / big_tech. Large-cap platform and AI-exposed technology names.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday low-vol all active books / Semis
tuesday_low_vol_all / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday low-vol all active books / Momentum Watch
tuesday_low_vol_all / momentum_watch. High-beta names to compare against steadier books.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday low-vol all active books / Defensive
tuesday_low_vol_all / defensive. Lower-beta ETF mix for contrast.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday low-vol Semis only / Semis
tuesday_low_vol_semis / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Mon-Thu low-vol all active books / ETF Baseline
all_weekdays_low_vol_all / etf_baseline. Broad-market ETF mix for a simple benchmark.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Mon-Thu low-vol all active books / Big Tech
all_weekdays_low_vol_all / big_tech. Large-cap platform and AI-exposed technology names.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Mon-Thu low-vol all active books / Semis
all_weekdays_low_vol_all / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Mon-Thu low-vol all active books / Momentum Watch
all_weekdays_low_vol_all / momentum_watch. High-beta names to compare against steadier books.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Mon-Thu low-vol all active books / Defensive
all_weekdays_low_vol_all / defensive. Lower-beta ETF mix for contrast.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday no-filter all active books / ETF Baseline
tuesday_no_filter_all / etf_baseline. Broad-market ETF mix for a simple benchmark.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday no-filter all active books / Big Tech
tuesday_no_filter_all / big_tech. Large-cap platform and AI-exposed technology names.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday no-filter all active books / Semis
tuesday_no_filter_all / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday no-filter all active books / Momentum Watch
tuesday_no_filter_all / momentum_watch. High-beta names to compare against steadier books.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday no-filter all active books / Defensive
tuesday_no_filter_all / defensive. Lower-beta ETF mix for contrast.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Space Watch Tuesday low-vol / Space Watch
space_watch_tuesday_low_vol / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Space Watch Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol / Space Watch
space_watch_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Space Watch Monday intraday-long / Space Watch
space_watch_monday_intraday / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$1,960.32
Cash$152.53
Positions$1,807.79
P/L$-39.68 (-1.98%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASTS | LONG | 4 | $86.23 | $84.30 | $337.20 | $-7.72 |
| LUNR | LONG | 15 | $26.56 | $25.92 | $388.80 | $-9.60 |
| PL | LONG | 12 | $31.11 | $30.56 | $366.72 | $-6.60 |
| RDW | LONG | 19 | $15.65 | $15.09 | $286.71 | $-10.64 |
| RKLB | LONG | 4 | $108.37 | $107.09 | $428.36 | $-5.12 |
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2026-06-15T09:35:23-04:00 | BUY | RDW | 19 | $15.65 | $297.35 | |
| 4 | 2026-06-15T09:35:23-04:00 | BUY | LUNR | 15 | $26.56 | $398.40 | |
| 3 | 2026-06-15T09:35:23-04:00 | BUY | PL | 12 | $31.11 | $373.32 | |
| 2 | 2026-06-15T09:35:23-04:00 | BUY | ASTS | 4 | $86.23 | $344.92 | |
| 1 | 2026-06-15T09:35:23-04:00 | BUY | RKLB | 4 | $108.37 | $433.48 |
Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue overnight / Space Watch
batch_space_watch_mon_tue_overnight / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Batch Semis+Space Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol / Semis
batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Batch Semis+Space Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol / Space Watch
batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol / Space Watch
batch_space_watch_mon_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Space Watch all-weekday intraday-long / Space Watch
space_watch_intraday_all_weekdays / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$1,886.18
Cash$119.40
Positions$1,766.78
P/L$-113.82 (-5.69%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASTS | LONG | 4 | $86.23 | $84.30 | $337.20 | $-7.72 |
| LUNR | LONG | 14 | $26.56 | $25.92 | $362.88 | $-8.96 |
| PL | LONG | 12 | $31.11 | $30.56 | $366.72 | $-6.60 |
| RDW | LONG | 18 | $15.65 | $15.09 | $271.62 | $-10.08 |
| RKLB | LONG | 4 | $108.37 | $107.09 | $428.36 | $-5.12 |
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 2026-06-15T09:35:24-04:00 | BUY | RDW | 18 | $15.65 | $281.70 | |
| 24 | 2026-06-15T09:35:24-04:00 | BUY | LUNR | 14 | $26.56 | $371.84 | |
| 23 | 2026-06-15T09:35:24-04:00 | BUY | PL | 12 | $31.11 | $373.32 | |
| 22 | 2026-06-15T09:35:24-04:00 | BUY | ASTS | 4 | $86.23 | $344.92 | |
| 21 | 2026-06-15T09:35:24-04:00 | BUY | RKLB | 4 | $108.37 | $433.48 | |
| 20 | 2026-06-12T16:56:35-04:00 | SELL | RKLB | 4 | $102.39 | $409.56 | $-26.00 |
| 19 | 2026-06-12T16:56:35-04:00 | SELL | RDW | 19 | $15.12 | $287.28 | $-12.35 |
| 18 | 2026-06-12T16:56:35-04:00 | SELL | PL | 12 | $31.15 | $373.80 | $-9.36 |
| 17 | 2026-06-12T16:56:35-04:00 | SELL | LUNR | 14 | $26.62 | $372.68 | $-20.72 |
| 16 | 2026-06-12T16:56:35-04:00 | SELL | ASTS | 4 | $82.41 | $329.64 | $-38.80 |
| 15 | 2026-06-12T09:35:19-04:00 | BUY | RDW | 19 | $15.77 | $299.63 | |
| 14 | 2026-06-12T09:35:19-04:00 | BUY | LUNR | 14 | $28.10 | $393.40 | |
| 13 | 2026-06-12T09:35:19-04:00 | BUY | PL | 12 | $31.93 | $383.16 | |
| 12 | 2026-06-12T09:35:19-04:00 | BUY | ASTS | 4 | $92.11 | $368.44 | |
| 11 | 2026-06-12T09:35:19-04:00 | BUY | RKLB | 4 | $108.89 | $435.56 | |
| 10 | 2026-06-11T15:55:33-04:00 | SELL | RKLB | 4.4216 | $114.48 | $506.19 | $6.19 |
| 9 | 2026-06-11T15:55:33-04:00 | SELL | RDW | 17.9748 | $17.14 | $308.09 | $8.09 |
| 8 | 2026-06-11T15:55:33-04:00 | SELL | PL | 11.9403 | $34.27 | $409.19 | $9.19 |
| 7 | 2026-06-11T15:55:33-04:00 | SELL | LUNR | 13.1839 | $30.54 | $402.64 | $2.64 |
| 6 | 2026-06-11T15:55:33-04:00 | SELL | ASTS | 4.1859 | $96.94 | $405.78 | $5.78 |
| 5 | 2026-06-11T14:57:39-04:00 | BUY | RDW | 17.9748 | $16.69 | $300.00 | |
| 4 | 2026-06-11T14:57:39-04:00 | BUY | LUNR | 13.1839 | $30.34 | $400.00 | |
| 3 | 2026-06-11T14:57:39-04:00 | BUY | PL | 11.9403 | $33.50 | $400.00 | |
| 2 | 2026-06-11T14:57:39-04:00 | BUY | ASTS | 4.1859 | $95.56 | $400.00 | |
| 1 | 2026-06-11T14:57:39-04:00 | BUY | RKLB | 4.4216 | $113.08 | $500.00 |
Batch Semis+Space Mon/Tue/Thu overnight / Semis
batch_semis_space_mon_tue_thu_overnight / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Batch Semis+Space Mon/Tue/Thu overnight / Space Watch
batch_semis_space_mon_tue_thu_overnight / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||