OpenClaw Paper Trader
Local paper ledger runs first; IBKR DEMO mirroring is best-effort when broker gates pass. Updated 2026-06-11T12:56:41-04:00
Schedule: Mon-Thu 09:35-15:55 America/New_York; enabled paper experiments: 11
Latest Dashboard Changes
Compared with previous generated snapshot; updated 2026-06-11T12:56:41-04:00
- UpdatedNo material dashboard data changes since previous snapshot
Total Equity$48,000.00
Total Cash$48,000.00
Total Positions$0.00
Total P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Active Paper Experiments
| Experiment | Mode | Entry Days | Guardrail | Include | Exclude | Research |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | overnight-long | Tue | SPY <= 1.00% | All selected books | space_watch | No |
| Tuesday low-vol Semis only tuesday_low_vol_semis | overnight-long | Tue | SPY <= 1.00% | semis | None | No |
| Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | overnight-long | Mon, Tue, Wed, Thu | SPY <= 1.00% | All selected books | space_watch | No |
| Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | overnight-long | Tue | Off | All selected books | space_watch | No |
| Space Watch Tuesday low-vol space_watch_tuesday_low_vol | overnight-long | Tue | SPY <= 1.00% | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Space Watch Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol space_watch_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | overnight-long | Tue, Thu | SPY <= 0.50% | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Space Watch Monday intraday-long space_watch_monday_intraday | intraday-long | Mon | Off | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue overnight batch_space_watch_mon_tue_overnight | overnight-long | Mon, Tue | Off | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Batch Semis+Space Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | overnight-long | Tue, Thu | SPY <= 0.50% | semis, space_watch | None | Yes |
| Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol batch_space_watch_mon_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | overnight-long | Mon, Tue, Thu | SPY <= 0.50% | space_watch | None | Yes |
| Space Watch all-weekday intraday-long space_watch_intraday_all_weekdays | intraday-long | Mon, Tue, Wed, Thu, Fri | Off | space_watch | None | Yes |
Each experiment has its own independent paper cash ledger per selected sleeve. Broker-enabled runs try to mirror whole-share orders to the IBKR DEMO account after what-if checks pass; mirror failures are recorded without stopping local paper trading.
Portfolio Sleeves
| Sleeve | Status | Experiment | Equity | Cash | Positions | P/L | Trades | Last Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETF Baseline etf_baseline | Flat | Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Big Tech big_tech | Flat | Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Semis semis | Flat | Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Momentum Watch momentum_watch | Flat | Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Defensive defensive | Flat | Tuesday low-vol all active books tuesday_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Semis semis | Flat | Tuesday low-vol Semis only tuesday_low_vol_semis | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| ETF Baseline etf_baseline | Flat | Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Big Tech big_tech | Flat | Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Semis semis | Flat | Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Momentum Watch momentum_watch | Flat | Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Defensive defensive | Flat | Mon-Thu low-vol all active books all_weekdays_low_vol_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| ETF Baseline etf_baseline | Flat | Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Big Tech big_tech | Flat | Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Semis semis | Flat | Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Momentum Watch momentum_watch | Flat | Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Defensive defensive | Flat | Tuesday no-filter all active books tuesday_no_filter_all | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Space Watch Tuesday low-vol space_watch_tuesday_low_vol | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Space Watch Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol space_watch_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Space Watch Monday intraday-long space_watch_monday_intraday | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue overnight batch_space_watch_mon_tue_overnight | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Semis semis | Flat | Batch Semis+Space Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Batch Semis+Space Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol batch_space_watch_mon_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
| Space Watch space_watch | Flat | Space Watch all-weekday intraday-long space_watch_intraday_all_weekdays | $2,000.00 | $2,000.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 (0.00%) | 0 | None |
Live market view
TradingView display only
Market Scout
Generated 2026-06-10T18:00:20-04:00; latest market date 2026-06-10
| Candidate | Theme | Status | Score | 20d | 20d vs SPY | 40-night avg | Win Rate | Kill Rule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNOW Snowflake | Cloud data | test | 0.483 | 57.85% | 59.58% | 1.08% | 52.50% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| LLY Eli Lilly | Healthcare growth | test | 0.179 | 14.80% | 16.53% | 0.47% | 70.00% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| RDW Redwire | Space infrastructure | test | 0.153 | 28.63% | 30.36% | 0.30% | 52.50% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| ASML ASML | AI/Semis | test | 0.137 | 14.02% | 15.75% | 0.18% | 57.50% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| AMD AMD | AI/Semis | test | 0.130 | 0.92% | 2.64% | 0.83% | 57.50% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks | Cybersecurity | watch | 0.102 | 22.09% | 23.81% | -0.52% | 32.50% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor | AI/Semis | watch | 0.080 | 2.89% | 4.61% | 0.26% | 62.50% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
| NOW ServiceNow | Enterprise software | watch | 0.073 | 19.17% | 20.90% | 0.59% | 57.50% | Reject or pause if it underperforms SPY/QQQ over the review window or shows >5% paper drawdown. |
Paper Tracking Since Scout Add
| Candidate | Added | Added Price | Latest Date | Latest Price | Paper P/L | Return | SPY | QQQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLY Eli Lilly | 2026-05-29 | $1,105.00 | 2026-06-10 | $1,136.37 | $56.78 | 2.84% | -4.10% | -6.04% |
| ASML ASML | 2026-06-08 | $1,749.04 | 2026-06-10 | $1,734.19 | $-16.98 | -0.85% | -1.87% | -3.13% |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor | 2026-06-09 | $427.92 | 2026-06-10 | $408.75 | $-89.60 | -4.48% | -1.58% | -2.00% |
| SNOW Snowflake | 2026-05-29 | $255.55 | 2026-06-10 | $239.90 | $-122.48 | -6.12% | -4.10% | -6.04% |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks | 2026-05-29 | $281.69 | 2026-06-10 | $263.22 | $-131.14 | -6.56% | -4.10% | -6.04% |
| AMD AMD | 2026-05-29 | $516.10 | 2026-06-10 | $452.40 | $-246.85 | -12.34% | -4.10% | -6.04% |
| NOW ServiceNow | 2026-05-29 | $124.37 | 2026-06-10 | $106.06 | $-294.44 | -14.72% | -4.10% | -6.04% |
| RDW Redwire | 2026-05-29 | $24.57 | 2026-06-10 | $14.87 | $-789.58 | -39.48% | -4.10% | -6.04% |
Market Scout is research-only. Trading Desk reviews candidates before any paper-trader rule change.
Experiment Lab
Autoresearch queue. Trading Desk owns approvals and Paper Trader changes.
Active / Cap11/24
Free Slots13
Strategy Ideas85
Research Results101
Open Proposals2
Add Candidates1
Batch Backtest Funnel
Generated 2026-06-10T18:47:41-04:00; latest market date 2026-06-10
Scenarios Tested52288
Review Candidates6722
Clean Candidates6454
High-DD Candidates16
Tradable Profitable12751
Paper Handoff12
Scenario Offset0/52288
Charted Candidates8
Paper Promotion Handoff
| Candidate | Action | Return | Excess | Max DD | Trades | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue / include space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-include-space-watch | Paper Watch Candidate | 42.01% | 35.78% | -6.85% | 43 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.020 / include space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-spy-abs-0-020-include-space-watch | Paper Watch Candidate | 42.01% | 35.78% | -6.85% | 43 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-005-include-space-watch | Already Active Watch | 40.90% | 34.67% | -5.14% | 25 | Exact active paper sleeve already exists. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include semis,space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-005-include-semis-space-wa | Paper Watch Candidate | 34.87% | 28.64% | -3.70% | 50 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-005-include-space-watc | Paper Watch Candidate | 36.49% | 30.27% | -5.21% | 36 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.015 / include space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-spy-abs-0-015-include-space-watch | Paper Watch Candidate | 36.38% | 30.15% | -6.33% | 41 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue / include semis,space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-include-semis-space-watch | Paper Watch Candidate | 33.54% | 27.31% | -3.58% | 86 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
| Batch candidate: overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.020 / include semis,space_watch candidate_overnight-long-days-mon-tue-spy-abs-0-020-include-semis-space-wa | Paper Watch Candidate | 33.54% | 27.31% | -3.58% | 86 | Clean long-mode batch winner can be represented by current Paper Trader experiment fields. |
Clean long-mode winners become watch/proposal candidates when Paper Trader can execute their mode; clean short-mode winners require a separate short safety pass before activation.
Top Ranked Tests
| Scenario | Status | Return | Excess | Max DD | Trades | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| intraday-long / days mon,tue,thu / include space_watch intraday-long-days-mon-tue-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 60.29% | 47.90% | -16.98% | 65 | intraday-long |
| intraday-long / days mon,thu / include space_watch intraday-long-days-mon-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 57.44% | 45.05% | -19.57% | 42 | intraday-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue / include space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-include-space-watch | Review | 42.01% | 35.78% | -6.85% | 43 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.020 / include space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-spy-abs-0-020-include-space-watch | Review | 42.01% | 35.78% | -6.85% | 43 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include space_watch overnight-long-days-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-005-include-space-watch | Review | 40.90% | 34.67% | -5.14% | 25 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue,thu / include space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 41.66% | 35.43% | -14.20% | 65 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.020 / include space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-020-include-space-watch | Review | 41.66% | 35.43% | -14.20% | 65 | overnight-long |
| intraday-long / include space_watch intraday-long-include-space-watch | Review | 49.58% | 37.20% | -29.51% | 88 | intraday-long |
| intraday-long / days mon,tue,wed,thu / include space_watch intraday-long-days-mon-tue-wed-thu-include-space-watch | Review | 49.58% | 37.20% | -29.51% | 88 | intraday-long |
| overnight-long / days tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include semis,space_watch overnight-long-days-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-005-include-semis-space-watch | Review | 34.87% | 28.64% | -3.70% | 50 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-thu-spy-abs-0-005-include-space-watch | Review | 36.49% | 30.27% | -5.21% | 36 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.015 / include space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-spy-abs-0-015-include-space-watch | Review | 36.38% | 30.15% | -6.33% | 41 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue / include semis,space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-include-semis-space-watch | Review | 33.54% | 27.31% | -3.58% | 86 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.020 / include semis,space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-spy-abs-0-020-include-semis-space-watch | Review | 33.54% | 27.31% | -3.58% | 86 | overnight-long |
| overnight-long / days mon,tue,thu / include semis,space_watch overnight-long-days-mon-tue-thu-include-semis-space-watch | Review | 34.70% | 28.47% | -8.56% | 130 | overnight-long |
intraday-long / days mon,tue,thu / include space_watch
Return 60.29%; excess 47.90%; trades 65
intraday-long / days mon,thu / include space_watch
Return 57.44%; excess 45.05%; trades 42
overnight-long / days mon,tue / include space_watch
Return 42.01%; excess 35.78%; trades 43
overnight-long / days mon,tue / SPY abs <= 0.020 / include space_watch
Return 42.01%; excess 35.78%; trades 43
overnight-long / days tue,thu / SPY abs <= 0.005 / include space_watch
Return 40.90%; excess 34.67%; trades 25
overnight-long / days mon,tue,thu / include space_watch
Return 41.66%; excess 35.43%; trades 65
- Paper/backtest only; no broker orders and no live ledger changes.
- No commissions, taxes, borrow costs, spreads, slippage, rejected fills, or partial fills.
- Close-confirmed filters are tradable only for close/overnight entries, not same-day open entries.
- Batch testing creates multiple-comparison and overfit risk; candidates must survive out-of-sample paper trading.
Markers are simulated backtest events: green = buy/cover, red = sell/short. They are not broker fills and do not touch the live paper ledger.
Latest Strategy Discoveries
| Strategy | Family | Status | Priority | Thesis | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Books HMA(21) Rising Turn Next-Open strat_20260611_hma21_allbooks_rising_turn_nextopen | hull_moving_average_low_lag_trend_turn | ready_to_test | low | Hull Moving Average uses weighted moving averages and square-root smoothing to reduce moving-average lag while preserving smoothness. A close-confirmed HMA(21) rising turn across... | StockCharts ChartSchool describes Hull Moving Average as using WMAs of n and n/2 plus sqrt(n) smoothing to re... |
| All Books Confirmed Williams Fractal Resistance Break Next-Open strat_20260611_fractal5_allbooks_resistance_break_nextopen | williams_fractal_resistance_breakout | ready_to_test | low | A confirmed Williams fractal swing high marks a local resistance level using two completed bars on each side of the high. A later close above the most recent confirmed fractal hig... | IFC Markets describes Williams Fractals as five-candle local highs/lows and emphasizes that confirmation occu... |
| All Books ASI(26) Zero Reclaim Next-Open strat_20260611_asi26_allbooks_zero_reclaim_nextopen | accumulative_swing_index_price_swing_trend | ready_to_test | low | Accumulative Swing Index turns daily open-high-low-close relationships into a cumulative swing line intended to confirm price trend direction and breakouts. A close-confirmed ASI... | thinkorswim Learning Center describes Accumulation Swing Index as a cumulative total of Swing Index with a sp... |
| All Books RMI(20,14) Oversold Reclaim Next-Open strat_20260611_rmi2014_allbooks_oversold_reclaim_nextopen | relative_momentum_index_multi_day_rsi | ready_to_test | low | Relative Momentum Index keeps RSI-style bounded momentum but measures gains and losses against a close several sessions back, adding a multi-day momentum component. A close-confir... | thinkorswim Learning Center describes Relative Momentum Index as an RSI variation that compares today close w... |
| All Books Klinger Volume Oscillator 34/55 Signal Cross Next-Open strat_20260610_kvo3455_allbooks_signal_cross_nextopen | klinger_volume_oscillator_volume_force | ready_to_test | low | Klinger Volume Oscillator combines high-low-close trend direction with volume force to estimate longer-term money flow while remaining sensitive to short-term reversals. A close-c... | StockCharts ChartSchool describes Klinger Volume Oscillator as a volume-based indicator using volume force wi... |
Proposal Queue
| Proposal | Rec | Status | Return | Trades | Hypothesis | Kill Rule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Space Watch intraday-long research sleeve proposal_20260605_space_watch_intraday_long_add_001 | add | ready | 65.85% | 84 | The Space Watch book has been strong as a high-beta theme, but its edge may be better expressed intraday than overnight because current Market Scout evidence shows strong momentum alongside... | Pause or reject if the intraday Space Watch sleeve loses more than 5% from its paper start, underperforms the matched Space Watch overnight sleeve ov... |
| watchlist_attribution_review dryrun_watch_multi_experiment_overlap_20260605_001 | watch | proposed | The current multi-experiment Paper Trader set may be valuable, but overlapping overnight-long Tuesday and low-vol exposure should be monitored for attribution before any portfolio change is... | Reject any future promotion from watch to add if the next two completed paper cycles do not show clear incremental attribution, or if overlap remains... |
Recent Research Results
| Result | Type | Outcome | Return | Trades | Hypothesis | Proposal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026-06-11T16:45:00Z | rejected_unsuitable | VWAP reclaim can be a useful intraday liquidity and trend reference, but this candidate needs intraday price-volume bars or trade-level data that Paper Trader does not currently store in the experiment harness. | ||||
2026-06-11T16:15:00Z | reject | |||||
2026-06-11T16:15:00Z | experiment_lab_half_hour_discovery | backlog_added | Hull Moving Average uses weighted moving averages and square-root smoothing to reduce moving-average lag while preserving smoothness. A close-confirmed HMA(21) rising turn across active books may capture earli... | |||
2026-06-11T15:45:00Z | experiment_lab_half_hour_discovery | backlog_added | A confirmed Williams fractal swing high marks a local resistance level using two completed bars on each side of the high. A later close above the most recent confirmed fractal high may identify a breakout thro... | |||
2026-06-11T15:15:00Z | experiment_lab_half_hour_discovery | backlog_added | Accumulative Swing Index turns daily open-high-low-close relationships into a cumulative swing line intended to confirm price trend direction and breakouts. A close-confirmed ASI zero reclaim across active boo... | |||
2026-06-11T14:45:00Z | experiment_lab_half_hour_discovery | backlog_added | Relative Momentum Index keeps RSI-style bounded momentum but measures gains and losses against a close several sessions back, adding a multi-day momentum component. A close-confirmed reclaim above 30 after ove... |
Trading Desk Decisions
| Decision | Status | Proposal | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| decision_20260611_space_watch_intraday_all_weekdays_auto_promote 2026-06-11T16:49:20Z | applied | ||
| decision_20260611_batch_space_watch_mon_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol_auto_promote 2026-06-11T16:49:20Z | applied | ||
| decision_20260611_batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol_auto_promote 2026-06-11T16:49:20Z | applied | ||
| decision_20260611_batch_space_watch_mon_tue_overnight_auto_promote 2026-06-11T16:49:20Z | applied | ||
| decision_20260608_space_watch_monday_intraday_promote 2026-06-08T15:37:00Z | applied |
Research-only. Proposals are not active paper sleeves until Trading Desk applies a config change.
Jan 1 Historical Replay
Close-to-next-open long replay; latest market date 2026-05-29
Starting Capital$12,000.00
Replay Equity$13,134.99
Replay P/L$1,134.99
Replay Return9.46%
| Sleeve | Start | Final | P/L | Return | Nights | Win/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETF Baseline etf_baseline | $2,000.00 | $2,059.72 | $59.72 | 2.99% | 81 | 51/30 |
| Big Tech big_tech | $2,000.00 | $2,078.06 | $78.06 | 3.90% | 81 | 48/33 |
| Semis semis | $2,000.00 | $2,476.05 | $476.05 | 23.80% | 81 | 55/26 |
| Momentum Watch momentum_watch | $2,000.00 | $2,080.72 | $80.72 | 4.04% | 81 | 44/37 |
| Defensive defensive | $2,000.00 | $2,020.68 | $20.68 | 1.03% | 81 | 44/37 |
| Space Watch space_watch | $2,000.00 | $2,419.76 | $419.76 | 20.99% | 81 | 40/41 |
Assumes $2,000 per strategy, compounding within each sleeve, no fees/slippage/taxes, and no broker orders.
Strategy Overview
Generated 2026-06-11T09:37:00-04:00; latest market date 2026-06-11
- Active paper cron candidate: Tuesday low-vol overnight-long.
- Entry rule: overnight-long only, Tuesday entries, selected books excluding space_watch, skip when SPY same-day absolute move is above 1%.
- Current top sweep scenario: overnight-long tuesday space watch only at 28.19% ($563.82).
- Current weakest checked scenario: intraday-short all books at -12.50% ($-1,500.37).
- Do not promote shorts, hedge pairs, or rolling-best selection to the live paper cron until they survive out-of-sample checks.
Top Checked Scenarios
| Scenario | Profit | Return | Book-Days |
|---|---|---|---|
| overnight-long tuesday space watch only | $563.82 | 28.19% | 23 |
| overnight-long tuesday low-vol space watch only | $496.29 | 24.81% | 22 |
| overnight-long tuesday semis only | $399.20 | 19.96% | 23 |
| overnight-long semis only | $361.13 | 18.06% | 88 |
| overnight-long space watch only | $305.24 | 15.26% | 88 |
Weak Checked Scenarios
| Scenario | Profit | Return | Book-Days |
|---|---|---|---|
| intraday-short all books | $-1,500.37 | -12.50% | 534 |
| overnight-long wednesday entries | $-766.38 | -6.39% | 138 |
| overnight-short excluding semis | $-596.82 | -5.97% | 440 |
| overnight-long thursday entries | $-32.42 | -0.27% | 132 |
| overnight-long after red SPY day | $119.98 | 1.00% | 240 |
Adaptive And Hedge Checks
| Check | Profit | Return |
|---|---|---|
| Window 10 | $3,223.00 | 26.86% |
| Window 20 | $906.22 | 7.55% |
| Overnight hedge | $-441.87 | -5.52% |
Tuesday low-vol all active books / ETF Baseline
tuesday_low_vol_all / etf_baseline. Broad-market ETF mix for a simple benchmark.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday low-vol all active books / Big Tech
tuesday_low_vol_all / big_tech. Large-cap platform and AI-exposed technology names.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday low-vol all active books / Semis
tuesday_low_vol_all / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday low-vol all active books / Momentum Watch
tuesday_low_vol_all / momentum_watch. High-beta names to compare against steadier books.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday low-vol all active books / Defensive
tuesday_low_vol_all / defensive. Lower-beta ETF mix for contrast.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday low-vol Semis only / Semis
tuesday_low_vol_semis / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Mon-Thu low-vol all active books / ETF Baseline
all_weekdays_low_vol_all / etf_baseline. Broad-market ETF mix for a simple benchmark.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Mon-Thu low-vol all active books / Big Tech
all_weekdays_low_vol_all / big_tech. Large-cap platform and AI-exposed technology names.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Mon-Thu low-vol all active books / Semis
all_weekdays_low_vol_all / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Mon-Thu low-vol all active books / Momentum Watch
all_weekdays_low_vol_all / momentum_watch. High-beta names to compare against steadier books.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Mon-Thu low-vol all active books / Defensive
all_weekdays_low_vol_all / defensive. Lower-beta ETF mix for contrast.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday no-filter all active books / ETF Baseline
tuesday_no_filter_all / etf_baseline. Broad-market ETF mix for a simple benchmark.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday no-filter all active books / Big Tech
tuesday_no_filter_all / big_tech. Large-cap platform and AI-exposed technology names.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday no-filter all active books / Semis
tuesday_no_filter_all / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday no-filter all active books / Momentum Watch
tuesday_no_filter_all / momentum_watch. High-beta names to compare against steadier books.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Tuesday no-filter all active books / Defensive
tuesday_no_filter_all / defensive. Lower-beta ETF mix for contrast.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Space Watch Tuesday low-vol / Space Watch
space_watch_tuesday_low_vol / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Space Watch Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol / Space Watch
space_watch_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Space Watch Monday intraday-long / Space Watch
space_watch_monday_intraday / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue overnight / Space Watch
batch_space_watch_mon_tue_overnight / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Batch Semis+Space Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol / Semis
batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol / semis. Semiconductor-heavy book with one ETF anchor.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Batch Semis+Space Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol / Space Watch
batch_semis_space_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Batch Space Watch Mon/Tue/Thu ultra-low-vol / Space Watch
batch_space_watch_mon_tue_thu_ultra_low_vol / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||
Space Watch all-weekday intraday-long / Space Watch
space_watch_intraday_all_weekdays / space_watch. High-beta public space names for research-only monitoring before any active cron allocation.
Equity$2,000.00
Cash$2,000.00
Positions$0.00
P/L$0.00 (0.00%)
Open Positions
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||
Recent Trades
| ID | At | Side | Symbol | Shares | Price | Amount | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||